but i take away virginia and florida. so when you do that and switch that up, there you go. >> you're at 290 cenk. >> i'm at 290. i'm surprisingly conservative here. i think the range is anywhere from 277 jong 277, i don't think less than that, to 323, which is your prediction. but i'm kind of in the middle at 290. again, on this, you shouldn't trust my gut that's ridiculous. you should look at the polling. as you say, he is surging in florida. we'll see how it turns out. on the other hand, what goes into my gut is the voter intimidation suppression validation issues, et cetera, we have been looking at. we're not making it up out of nowhere. when you look at the senate races, i'll be bolder and think democrats will do better there. i think that the -- in the senate they're going to pick up seats. they will be at 55, michael. what do you think? >> cenk, i'm actually joining less. that is my ceiling. one thing to keep in mind when you talk about the senate, the democrats had 21 seats and two independent seats that they cauc